Kosmik hava durumu \u2013 Hesabat d\u00f6vr\u00fc \u0259rzind\u0259 G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fin f\u0259all\u0131\u011f\u0131 qism\u0259n z\u0259ifl\u0259mi\u015f v\u0259 \u0259sas\u0259n C sinif al\u0131\u015fmalar qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r. Maksimal sinifili al\u0131\u015fma 4336 oblast\u0131ndak\u0131 M3.38 sinifli al\u0131\u015fma olmu\u015fdur. Al\u0131\u015fmalara ba\u011fl\u0131 olaraq radio rabit\u0259d\u0259 R1 s\u0259viyy\u0259li fasil\u0259l\u0259r, II-IV tip radio emissiya qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r. H\u0259ft\u0259 \u0259rzind\u0259 birba\u015fa Yer\u0259 y\u00f6n\u0259lmi\u015f komponent\u0259 malik Tac K\u00fctl\u0259 At\u0131lmalar\u0131 (TKA) qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r. G\u00fcn\u0259\u015fin s\u0259thind\u0259 l\u0259k\u0259l\u0259rin say\u0131 azalaraq 5 l\u0259k\u0259 qrupunda 65 l\u0259k\u0259 v\u0259 Tac D\u0259liyi\u00a0\u00a0m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunur.<\/p>\n
ETN \u015eamax\u0131 Astrofizika R\u0259s\u0259dxanas\u0131ndan veril\u0259n m\u0259lumata g\u00f6r\u0259, hesabat d\u00f6vr\u00fc \u0259rzind\u0259 enerjisi 2 MeV-d\u0259n \u00e7ox olan elektron seli y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259 olmu\u015f v\u0259 2507 pfu-d\u0259k y\u00fcks\u0259lmi\u015fdir. 10 MeV-d\u0259n \u00e7ox enerji y\u00fckl\u00fc proton seli is\u0259 fon s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 qalm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcn\u0259\u015f k\u00fcl\u0259yinin maksimal s\u00fcr\u0259ti 629 km\/san\u2013d\u0259k artm\u0131\u015fd\u0131r. Yer orbitind\u0259 planetl\u0259raras\u0131 maqnit sah\u0259sinin maksimal qiym\u0259ti 19 nT, radial istiqam\u0259td\u0259 is\u0259 -19 nT olmu\u015fdur. Hal-haz\u0131rda G\u00fcn\u0259\u015f k\u00fcl\u0259yinin s\u00fcr\u0259ti 538 km\/san, planetl\u0259raras\u0131 maqnit sah\u0259sinin maksimal qiym\u0259ti Yer orbitind\u0259 6.76 nT, radial istiqam\u0259td\u0259 is\u0259 -1.22 nT t\u0259\u015fkil edir.<\/p>\n
Hesabat d\u00f6vr\u00fcnd\u0259 geomaqnit sah\u0259sinin intensivliyi 8 yanvarda ba\u015f vermi\u015f TKA v\u0259 Tac D\u0259liyi Ax\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 t\u0259siri il\u0259 G1-G2 s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259lmi\u015f, y\u0259ni 10-11 yanvarda z\u0259if-orta s\u0259viyy\u0259li geomaqnit qas\u0131r\u011fas\u0131 ba\u015f vermi\u015fdir. Hal-haz\u0131rda Kp indeksinin g\u00f6st\u0259ricisi 3.3-d\u00fcr v\u0259 kosmik hava qeyri-sabitdir.<\/p>\n
Kosmik hava proqnozu \u2013 Proqnoz g\u00fcnl\u0259rind\u0259 (12-18 yanvar) C sinif al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015f verm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131 65%, M (R1-R2) sinif al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015f verm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131 15%, X (R3) sinif al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015f verm\u0259si ehtimal\u0131 is\u0259 1% t\u0259\u015fkil edir.<\/p>\n
Enerjisi 2 MeV-d\u0259n \u00e7ox olan elektron selinin yenid\u0259n y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yi, 10 MeV-d\u0259n \u00e7ox enerji y\u00fckl\u00fc proton selinin is\u0259 fon s\u0259viyy\u0259sind\u0259 qalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcn\u0259\u015f k\u00fcl\u0259yinin s\u00fcr\u0259tinin Tac D\u0259liyi Ax\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259siri il\u0259 normadan y\u00fcks\u0259k s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 qalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n
Avroralar\u0131n m\u00fc\u015fahid\u0259 olunmas\u0131 ehtimal\u0131 is\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259k geomaqnit enlikl\u0259rd\u0259 5-85%, orta\u00a0\u00a0geomaqnit enlikl\u0259rd\u0259 is\u0259 25-30%-dir.<\/p>\n
Geomaqnit sah\u0259si \u2013 Bu g\u00fcn TKA v\u0259 Tac D\u0259liyi Ax\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259siri il\u0259 orta s\u0259viyy\u0259li geomaqnit qas\u0131r\u011fas\u0131 (G2) ehtimal\u0131 var. Sonra is\u0259 rekurrent Tac D\u0259likl\u0259rinin t\u0259siri il\u0259 13-16 yanvarda yenid\u0259n geomaqnit sah\u0259sinin intensivliyinin G1 s\u0259viyy\u0259sin\u0259 y\u00fcks\u0259l\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yi g\u00f6zl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n